- FTSE 100 finishes 51 points higher
- Wall Street stronger in morning trade
- ASOS slumps after profit warning
5.00pm: Footsie ends at day’s peak
The FTSE 100 index made a positive start to the new week, ending at session highs on Monday as Wall Street also pushed higher shrugging aside Friday’s weak US payrolls report to focus ahead to another season of corporate earnings.
At the close, the UK blue-chip index was 51.30 points, or 0.7% higher at 7,146.85, the day’s peak and well above the session low of 7,085.85.
On Wall Street around London’s close, the Dow Jones Industrials Average was 201 points, or 0.6% higher at 34,948.22, with the broader S&P 500 index ahead 0.5%. while the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite gained 0.6%.
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, a global leader in online trading commented: “Wall Street has buoyed global risk appetite with a positive, if still modest, move that has recouped some of Friday’s losses. Fed minutes and the start of earnings season, plus more inflation data throughout the week, provide plenty of reason for caution, but at least the debt ceiling issue has been taken off the table for the time being.”
He added: “The rise in oil prices continues to be the major bugbear – the rally shows no sign of slowing down, creating the potential for a feedback loop that accelerates the rise in prices and sends inflation fears into overdrive. The rise in prices of course is something that central banks will struggle to control, since raising rates will have little impact overall.
“After a year of wielding enormous power over markets, central bankers may suddenly find themselves as bystanders as the global economy begins to experience the ‘growing pains’ that result from a rapid rebound from the global shutdown.”
3.50pm: Strong close to the session
With US markets shaking off early lethargy, the FTSE 100 has ore or less doubled the morning’s gains in the afternoon session.
The FTSE 100 was up 45 points (0.6%) at 7,141 entering the final half-hour of trading.
Aside from resource stocks and banks, gains by blue-chips were not that impressive; further down the food chain, however, a number of minnows had outstanding days.
Cadence Minerals PLC (AIM:KDNC) rose by just over third to 23.5p after the company received confirmation from the secured bank creditors that they have obtained approval from their credit committees concerning the proposed terms of the settlement agreement, thus paving the way for Cadence to vest an initial 20% in the Amapa iron ore project.
ReNeuron Group PLC (AIM:RENE), up by a quarter to 118.5p, occupied the silver medal spot throughout the day after it published what it describes as “extremely compelling” data that provides “clear pre-clinical proof-of-concept” that its exosome drug delivery technology can effectively deliver therapeutic proteins to the specific region of the brain affected by neurological diseases.
It was a bad day for ASOS PLC (AIM:ASC), the online clothes seller. The former stock market star issued a profit warning and parted ways with its chief executive officer, sending the shares 13% lower to 2,407p.
“ASOS is guiding for pre-tax profit in the year of GBP110 million to GBP140 million, which is 35% below the market consensus forecast of GBP193 million if you take the mid-point of the profit range,” said Russ Mould, the investment director of AJ Bell.
$ASC ASOS ushers out chief executive to implement GBP7bn annual revenue plan https://t.co/wOtC9PDfiw asos #ASC #Katie_Proactive
— Proactive (@proactive_UK) October 11, 2021
3.00pm: Blue-chips pick up the pace
US stocks got off to a hesitant start but UK blue-chips have suddenly perked up after a torpid morning session.
The FTSE 100 was up 28 points (0.4%) at 7,123, thanks to the strength of commodity plays (on rising commodity prices) and banking stocks (expectations of interest rate hikes).
While the FTSE 100 is on the up, the mid-cap FTSE 250 is down 135 points (0.6%) at 22,401, not helped by sterling gaining 3/10 of a cent against the US dollar as forex traders bet that a rise in UK interest rates will happen sooner rather than later.
Just given been interviewed on @BBCr4today about interest rates, which you can listen to on catch-up. It was c.5 mins at around 6.47am. No surprise for those who follow my views. A gradual rise in interest rates is needed to combat rising inflation – sooner rather than later.
— Andrew Sentance (@asentance) October 11, 2021
In the US, the Dow Jones has eked out an 11 point (0.0%) gain at 34,758 and the S&P 500 has just moved into positive territory at 4,392, up 1 point (0.0%).
2.50pm: Blue-chips nurse small gains
The London stock market is a bit like the nightmare 1982 England forward line of Paul Mariner and Peter Withe, which is to say there is not a lot of movement.
The FTSE 100 continues to hover around 7,112, up 17 points on the day.
Supply issues are increasingly featuring in many companies’ stock market announcements so we probably did not need telling by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) that around one in six adults have recently not been able to buy essential food items because they were not available.
The ONS’s survey found that around 15% were unable to buy fuel; 23% reported that they had not been able to buy other non-essential food items, and 57% reported that everything they needed had been available to buy.
When food shopping, 61% of adults reported experiencing some differences compared with usual; the most commonly reported were that there was less variety in the shops (43%), that items they needed were not available but they could find a replacement (20%), that items they needed were not available and they could not find a replacement (20%), or that they had to go to more shops to get what they needed (14%).
At first glance this looks like an English pub menu.
In fact it’s a list of the things that are unavailable because of the current UK logistics crisis.
Makes you wonder what’s left ???? https://t.co/WHLR5hctii
— Dave Keating (@DaveKeating) October 11, 2021
Meanwhile, the latest survey from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), conducted by YouGov, revealed that consumer confidence declined substantially in September.
The index tumbled to 110.5, its lowest level since April of this year, from 112.8 in August.
The index that measured expectations fell to 90.9 from 101.5; a value of less than 100 means that there were more people who expected their household finances to worsen than there were expecting an improvement.
The September fall was the largest single-month fall on record, apart from the 16.5 fall plunge seen in March of last year, which was the first month in the western world when the Covid-19 panic started and everyone was desperate to get hold of toilet paper, possibly for immediate use.
12.20pm: Will it go round in circles?
It has been a quiet morning for equity markets but a good session for commodity bulls.
The FTSE 100 is up 17 points (0.2%) at 7,122, thanks to the strength of miners.
“Lumber, iron ore, coal, and crude and all pushing into long-term highs today, highlighting how the commodities space appears to bring the greatest area of opportunity at a time when markets appear at risk thanks to surging inflation and the potential for a monetary squeeze. Inflation looks like it will be here for some time, and thus the ability to get long physical assets looks an attractive play at a time when traders question the stability of markets,” said Joshua Mahony at IG.
Ole Hansen, the head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said crude oil has started the week on a strong footing “as the global power crunch continues to raise expectations for higher gas-to-oil switching demand at a time where OPEC+ maintains its modest pace of monthly oil production increases.”
“Saudi Aramco estimates the gas shortage has already lifted oil demand by an additional 0.5m barrels/day. Coal futures in China surged 8% overnight after torrential rain and landslides halted some production at mines in the Shanxi province, the nation’s top-producing region, thereby adding further support to global fuel prices, including crude,” Hansen added/
It’s not just the miners going well in the commodity sector; oils are also on the up with Royal Dutch Shell PLC (LSE:RDSB) 2.2% firmer at 1,752.6p, as Brent crude for December delivery was up US$1.84 at US$84.23 a barrel.
Asia-focused banks are also in demand; Standard Chartered is 2.7% better at 493.6p while HSBC Holdings PLC is 2.1% to the good at 428.35p.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.22% in Monday pre-market trading, while the broader S&P 500 index declined 0.48% and those for the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 shed 0.95%. It is Columbus Day in the US which means bond markets will be closed but equity markets remain open.
This week, big banks will kick off the earnings season with JP Morgan, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Citigroup, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) all announcing results.
On this Columbus Day, I want to wish everyone celebrating Columbus Day a very happy Columbus Day. pic.twitter.com/yYWy6f40FU
— Save Our Statues -Robert Poll (@_SaveOurStatues) October 11, 2021
Happy Indigenous Peoples’ Day #ColumbusDay pic.twitter.com/MyUGLaykg5
— ? ???????? j????rec?’s D???????? F????? ???????? ???? (@joeywreck) October 11, 2021
11.10am: Quiet session continues
Leading shares are marking time this morning.
The FTSE 100 was up 15 points (0.2%) at 7,111.
Ahead of the grocery sector market share release from market research firm Kanta tomorrow, J Sainsbury PLC (LSE:SBRY) is down 1.8% at 290.3p and Tesco PLC (LSE:TSCO) is off 1.8% at 270.75p.
Pod Point, Britain’s largest provider of home charging points for electric vehicles plans, confirmed it plans to float in London, probably in November.
The announcement overshadowed Pantheon Infrastructure’s announcement of an initial public offering in which it will seek to raise GBP300mln via a share placing.
London needs another company called Pantheon like the Marx Brothers needed Gummo (who was replaced in the act by Zeppo, quiz night fans) and the fact its ticker symbol will be the wildly misleading PINT is another mark against it.
9.50am: Miners buoy the Footsie
Miners are keeping the Footsie in positive territory this morning.
The FTSE 100 was up 7 points (0.1%) at 7,103, with the likes of Anglo American PLC (LSE:AAL), Rio Tinto PLC (LSE:RIO), Glencore PLC (LSE:GLEN), Antofagasta PLC (LSE:ANTO) and BHP Group PLC (LSE:BHP) each up by more than 2%.
Ferrexpo PLC (LSE:FXPO), the mid-cap iron ore pellets producer, was 3.6% firmer at 321p after it announced its inaugural decarbonisation targets.
The group has committed to achieving net-zero carbon emissions from its operations by the year 2050.
Elsewhere in the mid-cap space, XP Power Limited edged 0.2% higher to 5,010p after its third-quarter trading update.
Research house Edison said XP’s revenues and bookings for the first nine months of 2021 were ahead of its expectations, prompting a revision of its full-year earnings estimates by 2%.
8.45am: ASOS CEO walks the plank
The FTSE 100 made a slightly better than expected start to proceedings as the pull of Asia’s strong start to the trading week trumped niggling rate hike concerns.
Earlier, China’s tech sector enjoyed a buoyant session after Beijing’s opted to issue a comparatively lenient fine to food delivery giant Meituan for alleged monopolistic practices.
Here at home, comments from Michael Saunders, an external member of the Bank of England‘s Monetary Policy Committee, got some hares racing.
He said he expects the cost of borrowing to go up “significantly earlier” than currently forecast. Economists are now betting a rate hike will occur before the end of 2021.
On the market, the big story was the 15% fall in the value of ASOS PLC (AIM:ASC), the online fashion group, whose chief executive Nick Beighton has quit with immediate effect after a slowdown in growth.
On the Footsie, miners led the way with Anglo American up 2.5% in early trade and copper specialist Antofagasta ahead 2.3%.
6.50 am: FTSE 100 set for a lacklustre start
The FTSE 100 looks set to make a subdued start to proceedings amid interest rate concerns.
Michael Saunders, an external member of the Bank of England‘s Monetary Policy Committee, said he expects the cost of borrowing to go up “significantly earlier” than currently forecast.
“He isn’t alone in thinking along these lines either after new chief economist Huw Pill voiced concerns over longer lasting inflation, something that the UK tends to be especially vulnerable to, while governor, Andrew Bailey, also appears to be leaning in that direction as well,” explained Michael Hewson, an analyst at CMC Markets.
As a result, economists are now starting to factor in a hike to base rates before the year-end against a backdrop of rising prices here in the UK, with inflation proving far more longer-lived than first anticipated.
Asia’s main markets, meanwhile, started the trading week in good cheer, led by China’s two international bourses.
There was a tech-inspired rally after food delivery group Meituan escaped with what is being seen as a fairly light financial sanction from Beijing for alleged monopolistic practices.
Elsewhere, travel stocks were flying higher in Singapore with international travel corridors with the rest of the world expanding rapidly.
Looking ahead, international investors are braced for the start of the US third-quarter earnings season, which analysts suggest will underline the threat from inflation as the supply chain struggles to cope with the recovery from Covid.
Among those reporting will be a slew of banks including JPMorgan, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Citigroup and Goldman.
On this side of the Pond, updating the market this week will be Rio Tinto, ASOS, Entain and Dunelm.
Around the markets
- Pound US$1.3644 (+0.21%)
- Bitcoin US$56,355.42 (+1.40%)
- Gold US$1,757.60 (flat)
- Brent crude US$83.55 (+1.41%)
6.50am: Early Markets – Asia / Australia
Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were mostly higher on Monday with Aviation-related stocks in Singapore surging after the Southeast Asian country launched vaccinated travel lanes (VTL) with Canada, Denmark, France, Italy, Netherlands, Spain and the U.K.
China’s Shanghai Composite gained 0.41% while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index surged 2.25%
In Japan, the Nikkei 225 jumped 1.55% but South Korea’s Kospi dipped 0.11%.
Australia’s S&P/ASX200 dropped 0.38% to 7,262.60 as Star Entertainment Group Ltd shares fell 22.66% after Crown-like allegations were made against it.